GLOSSARY

Complete reference guide to all streaks, momentum, and terminology used on TopStreaks

What Are Streaks?

Streaks are consecutive occurrences of specific match outcomes, team performances, or player statistics. They help identify teams and players who are in exceptional form or struggling. Streaks are categorized as either positive (green) or negative (red) indicators.

Each streak tracks consecutive matches where specific conditions are met. For example, a winning streak counts consecutive wins, while a goal streak tracks consecutive matches with goals scored. Streaks are updated in real-time as matches are played.

Team Streaks

Result-Based Streaks

Streaks based on match results (wins, losses, draws)

Win

Consecutive match wins

Unbeaten

Unbeaten in last matches

Loss

Consecutive losses

Without win

Without a win

Goal-Based Streaks

Streaks tracking goal-scoring patterns

Scoring

Scored in consecutive games

Goals 2plus

Scored 2+ goals in consecutive games

Goals 3plus

Scored 3+ goals in consecutive games

Goal drought

3+ games without scoring

Defensive Streaks

Streaks tracking defensive performance and clean sheets

Clean sheet

Consecutive clean sheets

Iron wall

3+ clean sheets

Conceded all

Conceded in every recent game

Leaky defense

3+ games conceding 2+ goals

Market Streaks

Streaks related to betting markets (over/under goals, BTTS)

Over05

Over 0.5 goals in consecutive games

Over15

Over 1.5 goals in consecutive games

Over25

Over 2.5 goals in consecutive games

Btts

Both teams scored in consecutive games

Nobtts

BTTS did not occur in recent games

Signature Streaks (Positive)

Special positive streaks indicating exceptional form or patterns

Hot form

3+ consecutive wins

Goal frenzy

2+ games scoring 3+ goals

Rampage attack

2+ games scoring 4+ goals

Fast starters

3+ games scoring in first 20 minutes

Late goal merchants

3+ games scoring after 75th minute

Second half specialists

4+ games scoring in second half

First half wall

4+ games no goals conceded in first half

Comeback kings

2+ games conceding first but avoiding defeat

Never say die

2+ games equalizing after 70th minute

Dominance mode

3+ games winning by 2+ goals

Signature Streaks (Negative)

Special negative streaks indicating poor form or patterns

Cold form

3+ consecutive losses

Goal drought

3+ games without scoring

Leaky defense

3+ games conceding 2+ goals

Heavy defeats

3+ games losing by 2+ goals

Blown leads

2+ games leading but not winning

Advanced Streaks

Advanced streak types tracking specific match events

First to score

Scored first in consecutive games

Win to nil

Won to nil in consecutive games

Head-to-Head Streaks

Streaks specific to matches against the same opponent

Wins vs opp

Wins vs same opponent

Unbeaten vs opp

Unbeaten vs same opponent

Scoring vs opp

Scored vs same opponent

Player Streaks

Goal-Based Streaks

Streaks tracking goals, assists, and goal contributions

Goals in a row

Scored at least 1 goal

Assists in a row

Provided at least 1 assist

Goal contributions in a row

Scored or assisted

Shots on target in a row

Had at least 1 shot on target

Key passes in a row

Made at least 1 key pass

Goals 2plus streak

Scored 2+ goals

Shot-Based Streaks

Streaks tracking shooting statistics

Shots 2plus streak

Took 2+ shots

Shots on target 2plus streak

Had 2+ shots on target

Passing Streaks

Streaks tracking passing and creativity

Key passes 2plus streak

Made 2+ key passes

Defensive Streaks

Streaks tracking defensive actions (tackles, interceptions, clean sheets)

Clean sheet

Consecutive clean sheets

Tackles 2plus streak

Made 2+ tackles

Interceptions 2plus streak

Made 2+ interceptions

Card Streaks

Streaks tracking disciplinary records

No cards streak

No yellow or red cards

Yellow cards in a row

Received yellow card

Minutes Streaks

Streaks tracking playing time and availability

Minutes over 60 streak

Played 60+ minutes

Minutes 90 streak

Played full 90 minutes

Advanced Streaks

Advanced player statistics and performance metrics

Dribble success streak

50%+ success rate with 2+ attempts

Duel win streak

50%+ win rate with 3+ duels

No fouls streak

Committed 0 fouls

Fouls drawn 2plus streak

Drew 2+ fouls

Offsides zero streak

0 offsides

Signature Streaks

Special player streaks indicating exceptional form

Goal machine

Scored 1+ goal per match (3+ matches)

Assist king

Provided 1+ assist per match (3+ matches)

Creator

Made 2+ key passes per match (3+ matches)

Defensive rock

2+ tackles & 1+ interception per match (3+ matches)

Momentum

What is Momentum?

Momentum is a metric that quantifies recent form and performance. Higher momentum indicates better recent performance, while lower momentum indicates poor form. Momentum is calculated separately for teams and players, and is displayed using tags that represent different performance levels.

On Form

Exceptional recent performance

Rising

Strong positive momentum

Steady

Consistent decent performance

Slipping

Declining form but still contributing

Cold

Poor form, minimal contributions

Team Momentum

Team momentum is calculated from the last 10 finished matches in a specific league and season. The calculation considers:

Match Result: Win (+3 points), Draw (+1 point), Loss (-2 points)
Goal Difference: +0.5 points per goal difference
Opponent Strength: Bonus for wins vs top teams, penalty for losses vs bottom teams
Away Bonus: +0.25 points for away matches
Recency Weighting: More recent matches have higher weight (100% down to 50%)

Player Momentum

Player momentum is calculated from the last 5 appearances (60+ minutes played) in a specific league and season. The calculation considers:

Goals: +3 points per goal
Assists: +2 points per assist
Clean Sheet: +1 point (defenders/goalkeepers only)
Minutes Played: +0.5 points for 60+ minutes
Team Win: +0.5 points if team won
Recency Weighting: More recent appearances have higher weight (100% down to 60%)

Inactivity decay is applied if the last appearance was more than 21 days ago (20% decay). Momentum returns null if last appearance was more than 42 days ago.

Confidence Levels

Momentum calculations include a confidence level based on the amount of data available:

High: Teams: 10+ matches | Players: 7+ appearances
Medium: Teams: 6-9 matches | Players: 5-6 appearances
Low: Teams: 3-5 matches | Players: 3-4 appearances
Null: Insufficient data (< 3 matches/appearances)

Streak Status

Each streak can have one of the following statuses:

Active

Streak is currently ongoing

Maintained

Streak was maintained in the last match

Broken

Streak was broken in the last match

Pending

Match not yet finished, status unknown

Streak Scope

Team streaks can be tracked in different scopes:

All

All matches (home + away)

Home

Home matches only

Away

Away matches only

Probability Calculation

How Streak Probabilities Are Calculated

Streak probabilities show the likelihood that a streak will continue or end. These probabilities are calculated using a sophisticated 5-factor weighted algorithm that analyzes multiple aspects of the upcoming match.

The 5-Factor Algorithm

1. Regression to Mean (40% weight)

Statistical principle: longer streaks are more likely to break. The algorithm assigns continuation scores based on streak length:

≤5 games: 70% continuation score
6-7 games: 65% continuation score
8-10 games: 55% continuation score
11-12 games: 45% continuation score
13-15 games: 35% continuation score
16-20 games: 25% continuation score
20+ games: 15% continuation score

2. Opponent Strength (25% weight)

Based on the opponent's current league position. The algorithm calculates a normalized position score:

Formula: (1 - normalizedPosition) × 100

Example: Facing the 1st place team (out of 20) = 95 score (very hard opponent). Facing the 20th place team = 0 score (easy opponent).

3. Venue Context (15% weight)

Considers whether the streak was built at home or away, and where the next match is played:

Home streak playing at home: 85 score (boost)
Home streak playing away: 20 score (penalty)
Away streak playing away: 85 score (boost)
Away streak playing home: 20 score (penalty)
"All" scope: 60 score (neutral)

4. Head-to-Head History (10% weight)

Analyzes the last 5 meetings between these two teams and calculates how often the streak type was maintained:

For example, if a team is on a win streak and won 4 of the last 5 meetings vs this opponent, the H2H score would be 80% (4/5 matches).

The algorithm checks the specific streak type (win, BTTS, over 2.5 goals, etc.) in those historical matches.

5. Recent Form (10% weight)

Evaluates the team's performance in their last 5 finished matches:

Win = 3 points
Draw = 1 point
Loss = 0 points

Maximum score = 15 points (5 wins). Score = (actual points / 15) × 100

Final Calculation

The final probability is calculated using weighted average:

probability = (regressionScore × 0.4) + (opponentScore × 0.25) + (venueScore × 0.15) + (h2hScore × 0.1) + (formScore × 0.1)

The result is then:

Clamped between 10% and 90% (to avoid extreme values)
Rounded to the nearest whole number
Displayed as "Continue Probability"
End Probability = 100% - Continue Probability

Example Calculation

A team with an 8-game home win streak, playing the 15th place team (out of 20) at home, with 3 wins in last 5 H2H meetings, and recent form of 9/15 points:

Regression (8 games): 55% × 0.4 = 22%
Opponent (15th/20): 25% × 0.25 = 6.25%
Venue (home/home): 85% × 0.15 = 12.75%
H2H (3/5 wins): 60% × 0.1 = 6%
Form (9/15): 60% × 0.1 = 6%

Total: 22 + 6.25 + 12.75 + 6 + 6 = 53% continue probability(47% end probability)

Important Notes

Probabilities are estimates based on historical data and statistical models
Past performance does not guarantee future results
These probabilities are used to calculate implied odds and expected value for betting
The algorithm is continuously refined based on match outcomes
Probabilities are updated every 30 minutes as new data becomes available